RawBelly

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Volume I · No. 93

Daily Debate

Friday, September 4, 2026

Today's Debate · CIA Covert Regime Change

Should the United States use covert intelligence operations to actively accelerate the collapse of the Iranian government?

A Washington Examiner op-ed argues that the CIA should seize upon signs of the Islamic Republic's internal weakness to finish it off through covert action. This revives a perennial debate about whether clandestine foreign intervention serves American security interests or undermines both the rule of law and long-term stability. The question forces a reckoning between realpolitik urgency and the constitutional and moral limits of executive power abroad.

AH

Covert power serves national security

I will engage here, though I enter with a caveat that is itself a principle: the executive's energy must never become the executive's lawlessness. That said, a nation surrounded by hostile powers that refuses to employ every instrument of statecraft is not virtuous — it is merely weak. The framers understood that commerce, diplomacy, and yes, covert capacity, are tools of national preservation, not departures from it. An Iran that exports instability across the Gulf, finances militant networks, and pursues a nuclear threshold threatens American credit, American commerce, and American alliances — all of which I hold dear. Where a government is already fracturing under the weight of its own illegitimacy, and where covert action is properly authorized, overseen by Congress, and bounded by law, it is not aggression — it is policy. The check matters as much as the action. Authorize it, oversee it, and own the consequence. That is the responsible use of executive power.

TJ

Intervention betrays republican principles

The proposal to deploy the Central Intelligence Agency as an instrument of regime destruction — however appealing to those impatient with diplomacy — is a course that a republic ought to refuse on principle, not merely on prudence. I wrote that governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed; that principle does not expire at the water's edge. When we work in darkness to dissolve another people's government, we assert that our judgment supersedes their self-determination — precisely the claim we rejected when a king made it against us. History's evidence, moreover, suggests that covert interventions of this kind tend to produce not stable allies but embittered populations and successor governments nursing grievances we handed them. And closer to home: secret executive power, exercised without public deliberation or congressional accountability, is a solvent that weakens the very constitutional architecture we are supposedly defending. The cure for foreign tyranny is not American shadow-governance; it is patient diplomacy, open commerce, and the irresistible example of a republic that actually governs itself honestly.

JM

Unchecked executive action courts tyranny

The argument for covert action to topple a foreign government may wear the costume of realism, but it rests on a mechanism the Constitution expressly refused to create: an executive power unlimited in its means simply because its theater lies beyond our borders. Article I lodges the war power, the power of the purse, and the authority to regulate foreign commerce in Congress — not because the framers were naïve about national security, but because they understood that unchecked executive energy abroad collapses back into tyranny at home. Every operation conducted in secret, funded through channels obscured from legislative oversight, and justified by emergency slides the republic one degree further from the deliberate republican process the compact was designed to guarantee. The extended-republic theory I defended in Federalist No. 10 depends on no single faction — including the executive faction — acquiring the means to act without accountability. Covert regime change is precisely that: power exercised without answerability, which is the structural definition of arbitrary government.

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