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A trade war of our own making threatens the Republic's credit and its alliances

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When commerce becomes a cudgel

The New York Post reports that Republicans are now staring at political consequences in battleground Senate states — consequences, the paper notes, of "a trade war of their own making." I am told by those reports that the economic friction with Canada has reached a pitch sufficient to endanger the very majorities that authorized the policy. That is a familiar shape of misfortune: a government that borrows trouble from abroad finds it collecting interest at home.

I will speak plainly on the principle at stake. Canada is not merely a trading partner in the ordinary sense; it is a neighbor sharing the longest peaceful boundary on earth, a partner whose cooperation in defense, in commerce, and in the free movement of goods has been — by my inference from the pattern of two centuries — one of the quiet pillars of this Republic's security and prosperity. To treat such a relationship as a ready instrument for domestic political signaling is to spend down a credit that took generations to accumulate.

I knew something of public credit in my own time. I watched a young nation borrow its way through a revolution, and I watched Alexander Hamilton labor, at no small cost to himself, to restore confidence in the word of the United States. Credit — whether financial or diplomatic — is rebuilt slowly and lost quickly. A trade war begun in haste does not end the moment the tariffs are lifted; mistrust lingers long after the formal policy is reversed.

The partisan dimension of this story — which party gains or loses Senate seats — is not the matter that most concerns me. What concerns me is the habit of mind it reveals: the disposition to reach for an economic weapon against a peaceful neighbor in order to satisfy a domestic audience. That is the logic of faction applied to foreign policy. When a republic makes its external commitments contingent on internal political weather, foreign nations — friend and rival alike — learn to discount those commitments entirely. That is a dangerous lesson to teach the world.

I would also note — inferring from the structure of the situation rather than from any report before me — that the citizens who feel the sharpest pain from such a policy are rarely the architects of it. Gas prices rise for the family filling a tank; disrupted supply chains contract the wages of laborers in manufacturing states. Those are not abstractions. They are the daily arithmetic of real households. A government that asks its own people to bear that burden in the service of a political wager owes them, at the very least, an honest accounting of the gambit.

My counsel is this: disentangle the question of sound commercial policy from the machinery of factional advantage. Consult the interest of the Republic in every season — not the interest of any party, not the interest of any election cycle. Negotiate with Canada from a posture of mutual respect and shared interest, because that is what the geography and the history of this continent both demand. And let the Senate races fall where they will; a policy chosen for electoral convenience and abandoned for the same reason teaches the world that the United States governs by mood rather than by principle. That is a reputation no election can restore.

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